Instrument: USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Bullish Preference:
A buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1.32915 with take profit at 1.32993
Bearish Preference:
A sell position is envisaged if price trades below price 1.32722 with take profit at 1.32624
Fundamentals:
None with high impact
Comment:
The Bank of Canada (BoC)focuses more on the core rate. If the reading comes in line with expectations or slightly above, it will fuel speculations the BoC will keep its aggressive stance. This might be enough to provide a modest lift to the Canadian dollar, though subdued action around crude oil prices could cap any meaningful upside. Conversely, a softer print should allow the USD/CAD pair to build on its intraday positive move amid resurgent US dollar demand. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD pair is to the upside. Hence, a subsequent strength back towards testing the highest level since November 2020, around the 1.3345 region touched on Monday, remains a distinct possibility. The momentum could further get extended towards the top boundary of a multi-month-old ascending channel, currently placed just ahead of the 1.3400 round-figure mark. On the flip side, the 1.3220-1.3210 region, coinciding with the overnight swing low, might continue to protect any meaningful pullback ahead of the 1.3200 mark. Any subsequent decline might still be seen as a buying opportunity and find decent support near the 1.3120-1.3115 region. This is closely followed by the 1.3100 mark, below which the USD/CAD pair could accelerate the fall towards the next relevant support near the 1.3055 horizontal zone.
Analysis: SCRUM Team